Math is invading the baseball world these days and really having and effect on how we quantify the talent of the players and teams. Smarter people than I have done studies to see which offensive stats best correlate to runs and which pitching and defense stats correlate to fewer runs allowed. And once you find the projected runs for, and runs against, the point differential will give you a projected W-L record.
Introducing PECOTA- It stands for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm and it is consistently one of the most accurate projections on the web. It projects player stats by looking at the players history and then finding what players with comparable stats at the same age and looks for trends.
So for all of you with favorite baseball teams, here is a pretty good projection of where they might finish.
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/index.php?sessionstatus=notloggedin
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